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Joe Lucey

Work Less, Spend Less: How Retiring Boomers may Impact the Economy

The economy has grown, in large part, because consumers are spending more money. It remains to be seen whether that trend will continue as more of the massive baby boomer generation approaches retirement.

Even before people retire, many tend to slow down their spending habits. Part of this is lifestyle driven; by age 50, most consumers have bought a home, furnished it, sent their kids off to college and are reining in their household budget.

The highest years for earning often come just before retirement but that’s also the time with the least amount of growth in income. According to studies conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, young adults see the fastest income increases. Those increases slow mid-career, and by the time we’re in our 50s, our hard-earned salaries could represent negative real wage growth.

Given little to negligible income increases during the latter stages of a career, it is more likely older workers are saving their money for retirement — not pouring it back into the economy. Recent research revealed that 80 percent of baby boomers are cutting back on how much money they spend. Among them:

  • 54% reduced discretionary expenses
  • 47% reduced recurring monthly expenses
  • 35% have created and maintain a household budget

The Congressional Budget Office reports that once the majority of baby boomers retire, government spending as a percentage of GDP will likely increase by another 9 percent due to the jump in entitlement benefits.

Not only will baby boomers likely be spending less as they age, many will continue to work. However, the mix of jobs available to older workers is changing as well. Over the past 26 years, 30 percent of manufacturing jobs have been eliminated, while service-oriented jobs in the education and health care fields have doubled.

 

Will We Ever Close the Gender Gap?

Every year, the World Economic Forum updates its Global Gender Gap Report, which measures gender disparity across 144 countries and tracks this progress over time. The report pays special attention to the gaps between women and men with regard to health, education, economy and politics.

Although the corporate “glass ceiling” has been broken by a growing number of women, the 2016 gender gap report shows that progress is slowing down for working women both in North America and Europe, while the Middle East and North Africa regions showed the most improvement. The report projects that:

  • Western Europe will close the economic gender gap in 47 years
  • Latin American and the Caribbean are on tap to close the gap in 61 years
  • South Asia may not reach parity for another 1,000 years
  • North America has been moving backward since 2006
  • At the current pace, it will take approximately 158 years to achieve gender equity in America

One of the high-growth industries that lacks female participation is technology. Although women comprise about half of the U.S. workforce, they account for less than a third of employees at technology companies. 

For decades, educators have tried to reverse this trend. In fact, the number of women studying computer science in college rose to 37 percent in the 1980s, but that number began declining in 1985, and in 2013, women accounted for only 18 percent of bachelor’s degrees in computing. Further, after gaining employment in the field, more women than men are likely to leave. One reason for that is they feel isolated and don’t have the support networks that men have.

Even Melinda Gates, wife and former Microsoft colleague of Bill Gates, has admitted that early on in her career she had doubts about continuing to work in the tech environment day in and day out — observing, “I felt like I had to be argumentative all the time.” It’s not that she couldn’t do the work, but the caustic nature didn’t suit her personality, and she felt there were better ways of getting the work done.

According to the 2017 Global Information Security Workforce Study, 51 percent of women in the cybersecurity industry say they’ve experienced some form of discrimination at work, while only 15 percent of men experienced discrimination. The women surveyed reported unconscious bias (87 percent), tokenism (22 percent) and outright discrimination (19 percent).

Gender discrimination doesn’t harm just women; it’s also bad for business. According to a study by the Peterson Institute for International Economics, having more women in top-level positions correlates with increased profitability. However, the research finds no evidence that, by itself, having a female CEO is related to increased profitability. Stephen R. Howe Jr., U.S. chairman of the study’s sponsor, EY, remarked, “The impact of having more women in senior leadership on net margin, when a third of companies studies do not, begs the question of what the global economic impact would be if more women rose in the ranks.” 

We also are potentially losing out on scientific discoveries and innovations. An academic publisher, Elsevier, conducted a study that found that less than 25 percent of research papers on subjects related to the physical sciences were published by women. It’s possible that we are failing to take full advantage of the scientific brainpower of half of the world’s population.

All of this underlies the necessity for women to have a separate and distinct retirement income plan, even if they are married. With more time out of the workforce, less pay and less opportunity to save and invest for the future, women need to plan for multiple sources of retirement income that are not dependent on spousal benefits. We can help you develop strategies through the use of insurance products for retirement income, both as a couple and with either spouse as a survivor. Please feel free to contact us to discuss how we can help.

 

Prospects for Growth in 2017

Some researchers believe the U.S. economy has a healthy outlook: The GDP growth rate is in the ideal 2 percent to 3 percent range, unemployment continues to abate and inflation remains in check.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics expects 88 percent of all occupations will experience growth by 2020, with the biggest increases coming in health care, personal care and construction. It also predicts that jobs requiring a master’s degree will grow the fastest.

Aside from the potential of lower taxes, more jobs and infrastructure spending, the U.S. economy has another reason for optimism: American manufacturing, industrial production and trade sectors appear to be emerging from their recession. Economists anticipate that industrial sector growth will continue throughout 2017.

Furthermore, consumer and chief executive officer confidence levels have improved considerably since the November U.S. election. The current expectation for more fiscal stimulus is expected to translate into greater spending and stronger economic growth.

In periods of positive economic news such as this, people sometimes get caught up in “the good times” – planning vacations and finding other ways to spend newly acquired discretionary income. As financial professionals, we want to help you create a long-term financial strategy now, so that you feel confident in your financial future.

Clearly, no one knows where the market will go in 2017, but according to investment analysts at Charles Schwab, income growth may be poised to continue in the immediate future. Technology, health care and financial sectors are among those that could outperform in 2017. One reason is that the U.S. is entering an era of deregulation. President Trump has already started to roll back regulations put in place during the Obama administration, which issued more than 3,750 final rules and regulations during its eight-year tenure.

 If you find yourself with some extra funds you would like to put away for retirement, call us for assistance on allocating them to your financial plan.

 

The content provided here is designed to provide general information on the subjects covered. It is not, however, intended to provide specific legal or tax advice.  Contact us at info@securedretirements.com or call us at (952) 460­-3260 to schedule a time to discuss your financial situation and the potential role of investments in your financial strategy.

Lin-Manuel Miranda's Tip

The New York Times reported in June 2016 that the 37-year-old creator of the hit Broadway musical ‘Hamilton’ was positioned to make more than $6 million that year alone, thanks to his multiple roles (author, actor, rights-holder) in the production.

But it wasn’t always that way. Read more in this article: The creator of Broadway hit ‘Hamilton’ shares the money advice he wishes he’d known in his 20s

The content provided here is designed to provide general information. It is not intended to provide specific advice.  Contact us at info@securedretirements.com or call us at (952) 460­-3260 to schedule a time to discuss your financial situation and the potential role of investments in your financial strategy.

The Student Housing Investment

It’s hard enough for students to come up with the money to pay the rising cost of college tuition, but what about room and board? In fact, at some colleges, the amount charged for housing has increased at a faster rate than tuition. This expense offers an opportunity for family members to help out. In some collegiate real estate markets, individuals purchase a small starter home or condominium near campus for a child or grandchild to live in while attending college. Consider the potential advantages:

  • The student receives low-cost housing throughout college
  • Future siblings and other relatives attending the same college also could benefit
  • You can sell the home when the last student graduates for a potential return on investment
  • When it’s time to sell, there could be a strong pool of potential buyers with the same idea about the collegiate market
  • Individuals looking for long-term rental income likely will find a stable pool of renters
  • If it is located in an appealing college town, the property could become an option for downsizing or a second home

 

Be sure to consult with a professional real estate agent or broker to help decide what’s best for your unique situation.

Danielle Christensen

Paraplanner

Danielle is dedicated to serving clients to achieve their retirement goals. As a Paraplanner, Danielle helps the advisors with the administrative side of preparing and documenting meetings. She is a graduate of the College of St. Benedict, with a degree in Business Administration and began working with Secured Retirement in May of 2023.

Danielle is a lifelong Minnesotan and currently resides in Farmington with her boyfriend and their senior rescue pittie/American Bulldog mix, Tukka.  In her free time, Danielle enjoys attending concerts and traveling. She is also an avid fan of the Minnesota Wild and loves to be at as many games as possible during the season!