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Joe Lucey

Tailoring Investment Strategies to Suit You

Stocks may have a reputation for being riskier than bonds, but you should also consider the risk that investing only in bonds may not accumulate enough money to finance all your aspirations in retirement.

It is true that stocks are more volatile than bonds, and there is no guarantee they will yield income, but they do provide the opportunity for growth. So, would you rather have a more reliable option with less income, or higher growth potential without a guaranteed return? If you’re like many people, you invest in a little of both, hoping that a diversified mix will smooth out periods of volatility but still provide a reliable return on investment. Keep in mind investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values.

One of the keys to investing is knowing what risks you’re willing to take and what’s absolutely off the table. Once you establish these parameters, it’s a good idea to put your strategy down in writing. This helps both you and your financial advisor stay on track, even when the markets hit a rough spot. Knowing what kind of strategy fits within the context of your own goals, risk tolerance and investment timeline can help you stay focused on long-term results, not temporary swings in the market.

Part of knowing yourself is knowing what your limit is for adjustments to your investment portfolio. Investors who enjoy making trades in reaction to market activity may use just a portion of their assets to do so. As a general rule, diversifying across an appropriate blend of assets based on your timeline, financial goals and tolerance for risk is a good way to work toward your long-term goals without constantly wondering if you’ve made a wrong move.

The Value of a Fixed Annuity

How much would you pay to get $100 more a month in retirement income for the rest of your life? On the flip side, how large of a lump sum would it take for you to give up $100 a month in retirement?

In theory, those two numbers should be the same. However, a 2015 study found that participants, on average, were willing to spend only $3,000 to buy the extra $100 benefit, but would sell it for no less than $13,750.

The responses to this survey demonstrate how difficult it may be to grasp the value of a fixed annuity. In essence, you purchase an annuity contract with up-front cash, known as the initial premium, in exchange for guaranteed income for a set period of time or for the remainder of your life. Some people may believe relinquishing a portion of their retirement assets for a future benefit is too big of a price to pay. However, you might also consider the risk of not having enough income in retirement, or running out of money too soon.

For this reason, it may be helpful to sum up a few of the benefits that a fixed annuity is designed to provide:

  • Retirees must gauge how much income to withdraw from savings sources each year so they don’t ultimately run out of money. Even with careful planning, unexpected expenses can throw this measured strategy off course. Another problem, too, is that some retirees do not live as full a retirement lifestyle as they would like — even if they can afford it — for fear of outliving their income. A fixed annuity can help provide more certainty with a guaranteed (by the insurance company) retirement income stream.
  • A fixed annuity provides reliable income regardless of what is going on in the stock and bond market, so a portion of a person’s retirement assets are not subject to market volatility.
  • A fixed annuity is a guaranteed source of income, which can be particularly appealing to retirees who do not have a pension. Annuity product guarantees are backed by the financial strength and claims-paying ability of the issuing insurance company.
  • Fixed deferred annuities can be held until a later age in retirement, when a person may be more likely to encounter higher medical and assisted care bills. About the time many retirees start running low on funds, a deferred annuity can provide a new stream of income.

Annuities are insurance products that may be subject to fees, surrender charges and holding periods which vary by company. Annuities are not a deposit of nor are they insured by any bank, the FDIC, NCUA, or by any federal government agency. Annuities are designed for retirement or other long-term needs. 

Global Trade: Free, or Otherwise

The World Economic Forum (WEF) recently published its 2016 global trade report. Atop the list of trade-friendly economies are Singapore, the Netherlands, Hong Kong, Luxembourg and Sweden. The United States ranks as No. 22.

It appears global trade has greatly enhanced some nations, but it hasn’t benefitted all participants equally. Per campaign promises, the new Trump administration advocates renegotiating trade agreements to better benefit Americans. However, the complexity and sensitivity of such negotiations could result in a number of different outcomes — and not all of them may be beneficial to the U.S.

The latest WEF report offers a few interesting insights, such as:

  • There is a strong correlation between wealthy and trade-friendly economies
  • Developed countries tend to have lower trade costs than developing ones
  • There is a strong correlation between highly populated countries and lower global trade
  • Trade volume tends to be impacted more by individual country tariff policies and other costly compliance measures rather than size or wealth
  • Non-tariff measures (e.g., labeling, inspections, quotas, embargoes and sanctions), which impact 96 percent of world trade, add more expense to trade costs than tarriffs

As a general rule, free trade enables more competition, which can yield more choices and reduced prices. When a country is concerned that increased trade will hurt its workers or domestic output, the government may impose tariffs and other trade barriers to protect certain industries.

What Are TIPS?

Inflation has been unusually low for the past several years, but it can still have a big impact. Even if the inflation rate hovers around the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target range, the buying power of a dollar would be reduced to 67 cents over a 20-year period.

To help offset the impact of inflation, some investors may consider buying TIPS — treasury inflation-protected securities. This is a form of U.S. Treasury bond that pays out in two ways:

  • Fixed interest payout for the life of the bond
  • A twice-yearly inflation adjustment added to the bond’s principal

Note that the interest payments are taxable as income in the year they are received and any inflation adjustments are taxable as income in the year they are applied.

The inflation adjustment is what makes this bond different, because it enables the bond’s value to increase with higher inflation. For example, if you take our 2 percent inflation scenario, a $1,000 bond would be revalued at $1,020 at the end of the first year. This, in turn, would increase the fixed-interest payout. Thus the investor actually benefits from higher inflation; even more so when the bond matures because the investor is paid back more than his initial investment.

TIPS may also benefit the investor in a deflationary environment, because in addition to the fixed interest payout, he or she will also receive the entire initial investment upon maturity. In this way, TIPS are similar to other bonds, but offer an inflation hedge. They are backed by the full faith and protection of the U.S. government, which makes them a relatively low-risk investment.

Since TIPS’ payouts are correlated to the inflation rate, they do not offer tremendous upside opportunity. Rather, they offer a way for an investor’s money to keep pace with inflation instead of losing buying power. Note, too, that when interest rates rise, the price of existing TIPS will fall. This means that, like other bonds, if the investor does not wish to hold the bond to maturity, he or she could lose principal in the resale market.

TIPS are offered through the government’s TreasuryDirect system in 5-, 10- and 30-year maturities, with a minimum purchase of $100. TIPS also can be traded on the secondary market through a bond broker or purchased as holdings in a mutual fund or exchange-traded fund.

Following the presidential election, investor expectations of a pro-business economy led to a sell-off of bonds, but TIPS received close to their biggest inflows since 2002, as investors were looking for a hedge against an increase in inflation. In fact, $1 billion of new money flowed into TIPS in the week following the election.

Please remember that investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values. It’s important to consider any investment within the context of your own goals, risk tolerance, investment timeline and the composition of your overall portfolio. You should speak with a qualified financial advisor before making any decisions about your personal situation. 

Common Financial Mistakes

One of the nice things about getting older is that we frequently learn from past mistakes. However, when it comes to finances, our needs and objectives change over time and we may make mistakes unrelated to prior mistakes. The following is a breakdown of some of the mistakes people may make during their lifelong financial journey, based on age:

  • 20s – Tend to be too conservative in their investments.
  • 30s – Start outliving their means, leading to credit card debt, and spending instead of saving.
  • 40s – Find they have a hard time saving while having to pay out college expenses.
  • 50s – Enjoy the fruits of higher income, often developing lifestyles that cannot be maintained in retirement.
  • 60s and up – Overestimate their capabilities and may wait too late to delegate important financial responsibilities (e.g., assisted living facility, assigning power of attorney). 

Calculating Retirement

Yogi Berra once said, “You’ve got to be very careful if you don’t know where you are going, because you might not get there.”

When it comes to retirement, plenty of people get there — but it may not be what they expected because they either didn’t plan, or their financial strategy didn’t help keep them on the path to their goals. The difference between a satisfying retirement and one with financial concerns may be correlated with how early and how well you plan.

In some ways, what you may hear about creating a financial strategy for retirement can sound similar to the advice high school graduates receive when applying to colleges: Develop a strategy for your dream retirement, one that you are most likely to achieve, as well as a fallback option or two. And remember that retirement planning is personal, so you’ve got to do what’s right for you.

That means taking into account all the people you’ll need to provide for, your assets, your income and savings rate from now until retirement, your investment goals, your timeline, your tolerance for market risk … there’s a whole spectrum of things to consider. That’s one reason why it’s  important to develop a relationship with a financial advisor who can help not just to develop a financial strategy, but to adapt that financial strategy as your circumstances may change. We can help you with that by creating a financial strategy utilizing both investment and insurance products that can help you work toward your long-term financial goals.

One of the first steps to retirement planning is figuring out how much income you’ll need once you stop earning a paycheck. Based on data gathered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in 2014, the average retired household spends $40,938 per year.

 

Retirement planning is a complicated process because there are so many unknowns, like not knowing how long you’ll actually live. However, there are many tools available at your fingertips, and we are just a phone call away. Remember, it helps to figure out how much savings you may need to retire, so you can create a well-thought-out financial strategy.

Danielle Christensen

Paraplanner

Danielle is dedicated to serving clients to achieve their retirement goals. As a Paraplanner, Danielle helps the advisors with the administrative side of preparing and documenting meetings. She is a graduate of the College of St. Benedict, with a degree in Business Administration and began working with Secured Retirement in May of 2023.

Danielle is a lifelong Minnesotan and currently resides in Farmington with her boyfriend and their senior rescue pittie/American Bulldog mix, Tukka.  In her free time, Danielle enjoys attending concerts and traveling. She is also an avid fan of the Minnesota Wild and loves to be at as many games as possible during the season!